Predictors of aneurysmal formation after surgical correction of aortic coarctation.

OBJECTIVES We sought to identify the predictors of aneurysmal formation after surgical correction of aortic coarctation. BACKGROUND In 9% of patients, aneurysms develop late after corrective surgery of coarctation of the aorta, with a 36% mortality rate if left untreated. However, the predictors of postsurgical aneurysmal formation are unknown. METHODS Of 25 aortic aneurysms requiring corrective surgery 152 +/- 78 months after the initial coarctation repair, 8 were located in the ascending aorta (type A) and 17 at the site of previous repair (local type). Seventy-four patients without progression of the aortic diameter within 189 +/- 71 months after coarctation repair were used for categorical data analysis in an attempt to identify the predictors of postsurgical aneurysmal formation. RESULTS Advanced age at coarctation repair (p = 0.004) and patch graft technique (p < 0.0005) independently predicted local aneurysmal formation. Type A aneurysm was univariately associated with the presence of a bicuspid aortic valve (p = 0.02), advanced age at coarctation repair (p = 0.044) and a high preoperative peak systolic pressure gradient of 74 +/- 21 mm Hg (p = 0.041). Conversely, multivariate analysis confirmed only the presence of a bicuspid aortic valve (p = 0.015) as an independent predictor of type A aneurysm. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that 72% of patients with a postsurgical aneurysm had an operation at age 13.5 years or more, whereas 69% with no postsurgical aneurysm had an operation at a younger age. CONCLUSIONS Use of the patch graft technique and late correction of coarctation can predict aneurysmal formation at the site of coarctation repair, although patients with a bicuspid aortic valve may be at risk for an aneurysm developing in the ascending aorta, particularly after late repair of aortic coarctation with high preoperative pressure gradients.